Improbable-Cormorant
0xb8076edb7c0de95bb53b5cb6e2bffa5afd7f99cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-66.21
Realised
$256.48
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1600 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.2K
$-7.46
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
500 shares @ 54.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$167.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$160.50
$0.50
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$135.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$105.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.50
$-11.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$78.50
$-14.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.55Jun 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.90Jun 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.90Jun 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.91Jun 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.91Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jun 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.72Jun 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jun 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jun 13, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.03Jun 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.06Jun 13, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jun 13, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.45Jun 13, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.03Jun 13, 03:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.29Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.