Threadbare-Signal
0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$151.2K
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$7.6K
Win rate
98%
134 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
318318 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.7K
$-5.2K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
68572 shares @ 31.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.2K
$-1.1K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
50952 shares @ 31.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.0K
$-3.1K
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
39105 shares @ 27.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.5K
$1.6K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
8871 shares @ 87.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.1K
$-659.22
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
14905 shares @ 40.2¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$792.47
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
38925 shares @ 18.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.6K
$-625.17
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
38656 shares @ 13.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
19325 shares @ 10.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.7K
$1.6K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
21112 shares @ 21.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.045m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.2512m ago
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$0.2616m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.0426m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.2026m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$0.8626m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.1627m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$0.4328m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.1728m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.1829m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$0.5632m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.2435m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$0.8736m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$17.7838m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$3.5538m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$0.2939m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.0643m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.5244m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.9645m ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$797.0345m ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $23.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1h ago
- Last active
- 5m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open size, breadth, ROI, win rate on closed markets, and specialisation. Full formula in src/lib/wallet-scoring.ts.