Glamorous-Frost
0xb8cc3fa6bb0f362e4660eb2ec5c6e515afba188a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
93
Open notional
$112.22
Total PnL
$-413.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
38 shares @ 17.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.96
$3.47
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
11 shares @ 54.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.08
$0.23
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
10 shares @ 60.1¢·now 60.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.02
$0.01
- NO
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 28.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$5.80
$0.10
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 65.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.63
$-0.36
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
17 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.10
$-0.17
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
34 shares @ 17.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$-1.01
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.85
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
8 shares @ 66.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.63
$-0.47
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
6 shares @ 81.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.53
$-0.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMSwitzerland leading at halftime?$1.64Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.05Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko$1.55Jun 13, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.35Jun 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko$4.00Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.30Jun 13, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.71Jun 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.70Jun 13, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.56Jun 13, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland leading at halftime?$1.01Jun 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.05Jun 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.06Jun 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.10Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.03Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.29Jun 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.85Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.00Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.38Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.