Careless-Cattle
0xb936ea88e924147f83c0da38f6e5f53ffe84db30
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$73.74
Total PnL
$-8.24
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 89.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.36
$0.36
- NO
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.05
$2.05
- NO
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.70
$0.70
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.54
$0.54
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.95
$-9.05
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
4 shares @ 51.2¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$0.19
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.05May 30, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?$10.00May 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$10.00May 30, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$39.25May 29, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$40.00May 29, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$0.01May 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$3.08May 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$20.00May 24, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$19.23May 24, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$20.00May 24, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$16.78May 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$15.21May 19, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$15.00May 19, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.05May 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.04May 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$9.83May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.14May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.13May 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.02May 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.14May 17, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".