0xba167f09eb5084fa1e7ae8f1e46f021096c4803c
0xba167f09eb5084fa1e7ae8f1e46f021096c4803c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$14.64
Total PnL
$-113.89
Realised
$11.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
1951 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.64
$-17.10
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
7260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.26
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
4080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?$1.00May 31, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.07May 31, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$2.01May 31, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.00Apr 23, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$16.00Apr 19, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$2.00Apr 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.34Apr 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$12.00Apr 16, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$19.74Apr 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.58Apr 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$20.34Apr 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.42Apr 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.77Apr 16, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.40Apr 16, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.67Apr 16, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.83Apr 16, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.99Apr 15, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$2.18Apr 15, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.59Apr 15, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.38Apr 15, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 02:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".