0xba1a06728696fecc668004b2811932fad2128f8e
0xba1a06728696fecc668004b2811932fad2128f8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$727.77
Total PnL
$-137.98
Realised
$-2.48
Win rate
39%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Prince Andrew apologize by Feb 28?
67 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$66.67
$3.95
- NO
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
57 shares @ 46.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$56.66
$30.06
- YES
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
55 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$54.75
$9.61
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
52 shares @ 62.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$52.12
$19.57
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
48 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$48.27
$8.43
- NO
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
40 shares @ 44.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$40.31
$22.39
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
35 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.04
$1.75
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
33 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.98
$1.32
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
33 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.81
$4.48
- NO
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
30 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$30.18
$0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$2.10Apr 26, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.80Apr 25, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.45Apr 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Apr 24, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Apr 23, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$3.60Apr 23, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$3.30Apr 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$2.65Apr 17, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$2.80Apr 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$2.25Apr 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$2.85Apr 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$4.35Apr 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.65Apr 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?$0.58Apr 3, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?$1.07Apr 3, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$3.01Apr 3, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAny of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$4.45Apr 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$2.13Apr 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?$4.05Apr 2, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?$4.05Apr 2, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".