Angelic-Carnival
0xba3ce1a0a3cd1ab1f98981f3ce7350017de22e4e
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$56.4K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$647.97
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.6K
$-70.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
18000 shares @ 89.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.9K
$-239.98
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
12328 shares @ 82.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.1K
$-4.0K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5000 shares @ 83.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.3K
$84.01
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3300 shares @ 60.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$197.08
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2250 shares @ 62.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$663.75
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2009 shares @ 56.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.3K
$114.89
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$966.50
$276.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
3620 shares @ 27.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$923.10
$-74.48
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
1185 shares @ 68.7¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$746.75
$-67.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.236h ago
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$15.456h ago
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.586h ago
- YIELD$2.8421h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.002d ago
- YIELD$3.222d ago
- REWARD$0.102d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$210.002d ago
- YIELD$3.223d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$258.643d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$397.633d ago
- YIELD$2.864d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$384.394d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$105.004d ago
- YIELD$2.875d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$181.305d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$175.005d ago
- YIELD$3.076d ago
- TRADESELLWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.576d ago
- TRADESELLWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.506d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $138.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.