Impressive-Scarecrow
0xba62c8a60f8154be11a8e9bd1bce5617992458e9
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
65
Open notional
$22.1K
Total PnL
$-27.7K
Realised
$33.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
10141 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.0K
$39.70
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
4668 shares @ 60.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.5K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
2000 shares @ 80.9¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$195.00
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
1407 shares @ 69.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$879.61
$-91.31
- NO
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
850 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$850.06
$54.30
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
444 shares @ 91.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$443.57
$37.19
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
551 shares @ 96.2¢·now 70.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$386.79
$-143.14
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
353 shares @ 90.6¢·now 90.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$320.26
$0.27
- NO
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
300 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$297.45
$0.65
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
240 shares @ 76.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$237.36
$53.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$16.203m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$15.6034m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$14.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$3.902h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$3.252h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$5.492h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$11.603h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?$14.463h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$13.404h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?$15.624h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?$18.324h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?$17.974h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$10.204h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?$18.905h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?$17.085h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?$0.275h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?$0.265h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?$0.255h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?$0.315h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?$0.545h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.