Impressive-Scarecrow
0xba62c8a60f8154be11a8e9bd1bce5617992458e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
140
Open notional
$61.7K
Total PnL
$-30.9K
Realised
$33.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5597 shares @ 89.3¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$275.67
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
3416 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$117.84
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
5460 shares @ 60.4¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.8K
$-488.15
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
2424 shares @ 90.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$147.34
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
3358 shares @ 51.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$492.76
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
2221 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$79.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
3379 shares @ 38.3¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.2K
$884.08
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
2378 shares @ 77.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$71.75
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
1914 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$77.90
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
1820 shares @ 91.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$119.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$19.40Jun 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$19.90Jun 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$7.60Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$4.95Jun 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.40Jun 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$18.80Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.00Jun 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$19.40Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$5.26Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$19.22Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$14.20Jun 13, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.60Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$3.14Jun 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.17Jun 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$19.38Jun 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$17.80Jun 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.60Jun 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$5.14Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$9.26Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.15Jun 13, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.