Quintessential-Drag
0xba89b38cc842b40bedb004c211849ce9f5a0468c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$87.19
Total PnL
$-341.67
Realised
$2.89
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
95 shares @ 9.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.97
$0.62
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
42 shares @ 26.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.55
$-4.55
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 16.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.45
$2.80
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
80 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.56
$-8.44
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
14 shares @ 33.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$-1.61
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 13.7¢·now 15.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.09
$0.39
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 10.3¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-0.10
- YES
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-0.30
- YES
EU dissolves before 2027?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
8 shares @ 41.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.00Jun 14, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 14, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jun 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.70Jun 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$1.02Jun 14, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$2.05Jun 14, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.50Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$1.30Jun 12, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$1.60Jun 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.20Jun 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.99Jun 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.05Jun 9, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$1.23Jun 8, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?$1.00Jun 8, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.