Grotesque-Duel
0xbced9efd4922f71074dacf2f57cad5a6aaeb84e9
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$94.29
Total PnL
$-131.58
Realised
$1.08
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$14.17
$4.17
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.11
$6.11
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66 shares @ 15.2¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.42
$3.42
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
8 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.26
$3.26
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 32.5¢·now 44.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.88
$1.88
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.30
$1.30
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.93
$0.93
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
43 shares @ 23.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.84
$-4.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.0020d ago
- YIELD$0.0025d ago
- YIELD$0.0028d ago
- YIELD$0.0029d ago
- YIELD$0.0030d ago
- YIELD$0.0031d ago
- YIELD$0.0033d ago
- YIELD$0.0038d ago
- YIELD$0.0040d ago
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$5.0041d ago
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$5.0041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$5.0041d ago
- YIELD$0.0042d ago
- YIELD$0.0045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.0045d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$9.0746d ago
- YIELD$0.0048d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$5.0048d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 60d ago
- Last active
- 4d ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".