0xbd2df8b1747a52fb768890e339d51ac92c873bed
0xbd2df8b1747a52fb768890e339d51ac92c873bed
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$27.07
Total PnL
$10.45
Realised
$4.28
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$2.10
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.09
$8.09
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- ALEXANDER ZVEREV
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.02
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 18.8¢·now 15.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.80
$-0.20
- UP
Silver (SI) Up or Down on March 23?
35 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- MAJA CHWALINSKA
Dubrovnik: Maja Chwalinska vs Tamara Zidansek
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$0.00May 11, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 11, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24?$0.00May 11, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSilver (SI) Up or Down on March 23?$0.00May 11, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMDubrovnik: Maja Chwalinska vs Tamara Zidansek$0.00May 11, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev$0.00May 11, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev$0.00May 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.00May 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4.25May 10, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.90May 10, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 19, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.02Apr 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Apr 18, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.89Apr 18, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.83Apr 18, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00Apr 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$0.79Apr 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$0.92Apr 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 18, 06:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.