Repentant-Radiator
0xbd8b2aa9414a4c96dfa10fe415f1074bc45d5953
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$125.48
Total PnL
$-162.34
Realised
$1.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
56 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.43
$6.43
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
545 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.64
$-10.36
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.86
$7.86
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
79 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.35
$0.78
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.69
$-2.31
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$-2.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.00Mar 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$10.00Mar 3, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 3, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike nine or more countries in March?$3.57Mar 3, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 3, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.00Mar 3, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 3, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00Mar 3, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.60Mar 3, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.73Mar 3, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$57.76Mar 3, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3.74Mar 3, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$35.72Mar 3, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Feb 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.00Feb 18, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 18, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $18.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.