Occasional-Guilt
0xbdf61c672bb559282114941e55afe7bcf456ceb2
Quality score
93/100
Open positions
25
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$300.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
1259 shares @ 31.8¢·now 72.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$906.76
$506.77
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1329 shares @ 60.2¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$783.69
$-16.31
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
1159 shares @ 42.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$747.68
$259.25
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
677 shares @ 29.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$518.14
$318.14
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
820 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$504.10
$4.10
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
791 shares @ 63.2¢·now 43.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$341.82
$-158.18
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
625 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$296.88
$-3.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
811 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$295.95
$-4.05
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
692 shares @ 43.4¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$283.56
$-16.44
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
290 shares @ 69.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$273.91
$73.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0416h ago
- YIELD$0.052d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$1.3K2d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$2.2K2d ago
- YIELD$0.053d ago
- REDEEMWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 19, 2026?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?$0.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$173.933d ago
- YIELD$0.044d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$300.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?$20.004d ago
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.004d ago
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$5.004d ago
- REDEEMWill 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.045d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$500.005d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$400.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$93.655d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $176.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 16h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.