Bruised-Retrospectivity
0xbdf936398b2bc4233af206944c503c6065ea0e7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$63.12
Total PnL
$-19.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
112 shares @ 11.9¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.95
$2.62
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
16 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.92
$2.59
- NO
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
11 shares @ 81.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.90
$1.90
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
21 shares @ 36.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$-2.33
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$0.15
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.51
$0.18
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.26
$-2.74
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
42 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.29
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?
1019 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$1.45Jun 2, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.23Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?$0.53Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor?$4.02May 25, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.08May 25, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?$9.07May 25, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.20May 25, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$5.14May 25, 16:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".