Outstanding-Ambiguity
0xbf3289ec5365af9faf3df0fce24110bbf8c919a9
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$27.71
Total PnL
$-15.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
41 shares @ 36.9¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.67
$-0.33
- YES
Anthropic CEO arrested?
219 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.40
$-1.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.02
$-2.98
- YES
Will Google say "ChatGPT" or "OpenAI" during earnings call?
9 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$10.343h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google say "ChatGPT" or "OpenAI" during earnings call?$5.095d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$5.085d ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$5.205d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.007d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.007d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.939d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.009d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.009d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$9.469d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.009d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.019d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.009d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.009d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.009d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.009d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.009d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.229d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.009d ago
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$0.009d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".