Reliable-Halfbrother-File
0xbf3d31ff1dbce4390b05794f1bff1789c3e50e86
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$192.37
Total PnL
$-9.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
196 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$192.37
$-0.10
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
45 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- BRUINS
Sabres vs. Bruins
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- MAPLE LEAFS
Stars vs. Maple Leafs
7 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- CELTICS
76ers vs. Celtics
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$192.62May 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$192.32May 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$192.85May 17, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$193.03May 17, 02:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$193.31May 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$193.34May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$193.69May 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$193.68May 16, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$194.07May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$194.02May 15, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$194.37May 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?$194.36May 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?$194.70May 12, 15:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.89May 8, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $137.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".