Beloved-Parka
0xbfc9e1806433acc77bea5599eb70edeca960a0a3
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$280.16
Total PnL
$20.77
Realised
$27.15
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?
200 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$124.00
$4.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.50
$0.50
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
51 shares @ 66.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.20
$14.25
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
50 shares @ 33.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.49
$15.60
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.96
$-1.13
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
51 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0110h ago
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?$121.9215h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$1.1K2d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$6.783d ago
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$24.623d ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$11.893d ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$1.713d ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$3.393d ago
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$44.903d ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$33.783d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$37.083d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$3.694d ago
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$12.314d ago
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$0.494d ago
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$17.954d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$16.564d ago
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$5.744d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $16.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".