Yummy-Recliner-Cooking
0xc1c9bb686bf11ddeefe57ea1e4ec0ddb6cbb3e2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$10.9K
Total PnL
$-890.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1042 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$998.96
$-1.04
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
604 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$601.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2903 shares @ 18.9¢·now 20.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$581.96
$31.97
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
501 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$500.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
501 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$500.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
501 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$499.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
455 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$449.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
517 shares @ 77.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$400.82
$0.82
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2248 shares @ 13.3¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$356.34
$56.34
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
321 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$303.76
$3.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.24Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?$50.10Jul 8, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$202.48Jul 8, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$50.98Jul 8, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$101.00Jul 8, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$101.76Jul 8, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$51.01Jul 8, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?$203.16Jul 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$101.00Jul 8, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$101.25Jul 8, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?$50.50Jul 8, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$50.71Jul 8, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?$102.18Jul 8, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$152.70Jul 8, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$491.62Jul 8, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.14Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$202.44Jul 7, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$202.05Jul 7, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$204.34Jul 7, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $179.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.