Gullible-Serum
0xc1d397e1bf5c628b277fbf6fa10ca7b966790d96
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-122.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1172 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$46.41
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
164 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.00
$2.45
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
120 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$119.34
$6.54
- NO
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 86.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.96
$8.67
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
80 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.55
$2.44
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
70 shares @ 80.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.35
$6.75
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
60 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.77
$1.11
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
60 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$52.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$51.50
$10.50
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
47 shares @ 81.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.16
$4.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senegal (-2.5)$0.55Jun 16, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.43Jun 16, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Austria (-3.5)$1.23Jun 16, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Algeria (-2.5)$1.04Jun 16, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$2.25Jun 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.01Jun 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.05Jun 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.28Jun 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.05Jun 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.05Jun 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.02Jun 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.01Jun 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-1.5)$0.11Jun 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Norway (-3.5)$2.05Jun 16, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$2.05Jun 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senegal (-2.5)$0.47Jun 16, 03:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Sweden (-2.5)$10.00Jun 15, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$3.20Jun 15, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: IR Iran (-2.5)$1.03Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.