Gullible-Serum
0xc1d397e1bf5c628b277fbf6fa10ca7b966790d96
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$15.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1132 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$26.56
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
120 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$117.18
$4.38
- NO
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 86.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.19
$9.90
- YES
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$94.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$94.00
$1.00
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
80 shares @ 93.9¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.55
$1.44
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
60 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.87
$0.21
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
70 shares @ 80.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.75
$1.15
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
50 shares @ 77.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$45.98
$7.08
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 37.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$43.55
$5.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNingbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls$5.802h ago
- TRADEBUYShanxi Loongs vs. Qingdao Eagles$5.902h ago
- YIELD$0.007h ago
- REDEEMGuangzhou Loong Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers$10.0014h ago
- REDEEMLiaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin$10.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$6.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYLiaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin$6.4019h ago
- TRADEBUYLiaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin$3.201d ago
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYGuangzhou Loong Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers$3.801d ago
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Magic$3.971d ago
- TRADEBUYGuangzhou Loong Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers$5.871d ago
- REDEEMCeltics vs. 76ers$10.001d ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$0.711d ago
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$2.291d ago
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$3.202d ago
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Hawks$4.402d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$1.372d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".