Carefree-Marketplace
0xc1d41bbe608b73e12dffe060548347c0a7358e51
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
147
Open notional
$45.10
Total PnL
$-31.4K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
73%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 147- YES
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.30
$6.43
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
547 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.41
$-90.59
- NO
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
4 shares @ 66.1¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-0.08
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
30529 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-672.79
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
22420 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
12456 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
8828 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-299.63
- YES
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-11?
8113 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
6589 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-499.88
- YES
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?
5937 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-115.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$105.69May 3, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$0.19May 2, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$3.81May 2, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$9.52May 2, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$3.82May 2, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$0.74May 1, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$4.78May 1, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$128.55May 1, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$8.01Apr 30, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$8.01Apr 30, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$150.00Apr 26, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5$223.58Apr 26, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5$119.48Apr 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$118.04Apr 26, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$49.08Apr 26, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$48.75Apr 26, 04:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.44Apr 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5$50.00Apr 25, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5$2.30Apr 25, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5$19.78Apr 25, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $75.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".