Uniform-Implication
0xc288dbd651dbcf41e7aac3b523b7e6edc5023480
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$17.1K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$132.99
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.3K
$1.9K
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4453 shares @ 53.5¢·now 84.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.7K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$863.65
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1338 shares @ 81.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$109.33
- NO
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
1421 shares @ 46.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$845.42
$190.78
- NO
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1230 shares @ 28.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$738.06
$393.59
- NO
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
833 shares @ 58.5¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$533.25
$45.99
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
882 shares @ 71.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$418.82
$-208.03
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$401.85
$-1.9K
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$336.00
$40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.65Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$0.00Jul 20, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $107.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.