Beloved-Toaster
0xc2c6df0f88594e0aa327c049dfc4c8184d9856a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-111.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
33500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-42.98
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 49m?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?
3063 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?
1762 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?
1076 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
1063 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 1?
140 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
123 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.48
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$0.69Jun 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.74Jun 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$4.74Jun 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$26.00Jun 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$6.00Jun 6, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$6.00Jun 6, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$8.00Jun 4, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.68Jun 4, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$2.00Jun 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.79Jun 4, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.00Jun 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 3?$3.13Jun 2, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?$3.58Jun 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?$1.04Jun 1, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$5.16Jun 1, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$6.77Jun 1, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 1?$1.05May 31, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.00May 31, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 1?$1.05May 31, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.87May 31, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.