Unlawful-Coin
0xc436e72070fffd94efe821550ae0192c6d0b76c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$69.78
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$34.99
Win rate
100%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
17 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
137 shares @ 16.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.72
$-6.58
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.21
$1.21
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.45
$-15.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
19 shares @ 42.4¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.73
$-2.51
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
46 shares @ 26.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$-7.06
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.47
$-6.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.10
$-4.90
- YES
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.40
$-7.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.35
$-3.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$15.27Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$16.67Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 20?$3.08Jul 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 20?$2.07Jul 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.50Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$5.70Jul 19, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$22.73Jul 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$2.08Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$2.09Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$5.17Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$5.11Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$26.67Jul 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.92Jul 17, 14:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.97Jul 16, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.40Jul 16, 13:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.05Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$7.25Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-15?$15.50Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $11.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.