Insubstantial-Cygnet-Chess
0xc46d00524c759612a204cfed572ca32f257f7668
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$14.75
Total PnL
$-0.30
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.17
- NO
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.25
$0.15
- NO
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.24
$0.14
- YES
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?
1 shares @ 81.9¢·now 88.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.19
$0.09
- YES
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?
2 shares @ 66.6¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.12
$0.02
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- UP
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.09
$-0.01
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$-0.03
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill T1 qualify to MSI 2026?$0.26Jun 13, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$1.13Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$0.93Jun 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$0.03Jun 12, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner$0.00Jun 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner$1.12Jun 12, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.27Jun 12, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$0.22Jun 12, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.13Jun 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$1.13Jun 11, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$1.63Jun 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$1.13Jun 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.36Jun 10, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.24Jun 9, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?$1.11Jun 9, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$1.12Jun 9, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$0.05Jun 9, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.12Jun 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$0.18Jun 9, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.