Instructive-Friction
0xc54dd852ab86e409c69667f6295780b753c88be1
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-545.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1150 shares @ 66.5¢·now 47.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$540.36
$-224.34
- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
500 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$432.50
$47.50
- YES
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?
284 shares @ 19.3¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$133.26
$78.47
- YES
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
1507 shares @ 56.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.07
$-725.62
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
11 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.07
$2.25
- NO
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,650 (HIGH) by April 30?
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.71
$0.71
- YES
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.40
$-2.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 53.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.67
$0.82
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.77
$-0.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$3.1K8h ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$150.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$3.0K1d ago
- REDEEMWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.0K1d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$352.291d ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.183d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1000.003d ago
- REDEEMWill the Rolex Index hit $12,350 (HIGH) by April 30?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill the Rolex Index hit $12,300 (HIGH) by April 30?$0.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$258.894d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$11.324d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$75.264d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$45.204d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$130.634d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$43.264d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$2.354d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Patek Index hit $104,000 (LOW) by April 30?$51.706d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Patek Index hit $105,000 (LOW) by April 30?$45.136d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Patek Index hit $103,000 (LOW) by April 30?$10.586d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $170.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.