Exalted-Illness
0xc5e40587b66921e1a4e268a6b9211d10f6b74be8
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$502.81
Total PnL
$39.90
Realised
$32.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 55.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$167.00
$56.00
- YES
Will Diogo Costa be in Portugal's Starting 11?
102 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$100.42
$3.73
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 24.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$87.50
$-32.50
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.52
$4.52
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 20.5¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.30
$2.80
- YES
Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
426 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.04
$2.95
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.05
$-0.35
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 9.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.55
$4.95
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.35
$-0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nuno Mendes be in Portugal's Starting 11?$1.37Jun 13, 09:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diogo Costa be in Portugal's Starting 11?$96.84Jun 12, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11?$2.16Jun 12, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.24Jun 12, 10:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$45.00Jun 11, 23:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.40Jun 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.07Jun 4, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15Jun 4, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.13Jun 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.35Jun 3, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $10.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.