0xc5ec833802dfe8cb63dedb1539795180a63b7f87
0xc5ec833802dfe8cb63dedb1539795180a63b7f87
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
110
Open notional
$3.17
Total PnL
$-393.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Spain snap election called in 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 69.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.14
$-0.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1102 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 7?$20.14Jun 7, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?$20.18Jun 6, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?$10.18Jun 5, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?$10.01Jun 5, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?$20.01Jun 5, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 7?$20.01Jun 5, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $170 in May?$200.40Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?$100.60May 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$101.21May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?$100.04May 22, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$100.08May 22, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$300.60May 16, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?$100.81May 16, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$300.30May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$300.02May 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?$100.06May 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$300.04May 15, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?$10.07May 14, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?$300.30May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?$10.00May 13, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $106.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.