Tangible-Wrap
0xc6406613af171996a009e9c8bdfd66f98c334cf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.77
Total PnL
$-179.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
6 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.93
$0.47
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$0.03
- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.87
$-2.26
- NO
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?
466 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- YES
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?
356 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-53.13
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
14 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.17
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
7 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 68.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6.01Jul 24, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$5.51Jul 24, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$4.97Jul 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.06Jul 22, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$5.10Jul 22, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$5.46Jul 22, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$5.56Jul 16, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$5.00Jul 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$5.13Jul 5, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.84Jul 5, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.66Jul 5, 11:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$8.58Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.04Jun 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$5.83Jun 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 10, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.