Wobbly-Rectangle
0xc6bdae43e69583481c0f8b839bd6f53733224232
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$14.22
Total PnL
$-23.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 72.9¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$1.00Mar 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?$1.01Mar 9, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4PM ET$1.04Mar 9, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?$1.06Mar 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.00Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.00Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPolymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.00Mar 6, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$1.00Mar 6, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Mar 6, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?$1.00Mar 6, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?$1.00Mar 6, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?$1.00Mar 6, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?$1.00Mar 6, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.