Trusting-Bungalow
0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$368.6K
Total PnL
$26.7K
Realised
$17.0K
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
191302 shares @ 72.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.8K
$-2.6K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
117262 shares @ 77.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$103.2K
$12.1K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
52796 shares @ 89.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$51.8K
$4.4K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
12246 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$12.1K
$114.93
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
15816 shares @ 74.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.9K
$157.88
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
11362 shares @ 86.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.2K
$438.28
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
10080 shares @ 85.1¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.9K
$295.23
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
10832 shares @ 74.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.1K
$-24.10
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
19700 shares @ 54.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.8K
$-2.9K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
3769 shares @ 38.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.7K
$2.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.8KJun 15, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$766.43Jun 15, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.7KJun 15, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15.38Jun 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$140.00Jun 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.13Jun 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$116.67Jun 15, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$11.67Jun 15, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$88.67Jun 15, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.70Jun 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.0KJun 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.1KJun 15, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.3KJun 15, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$198.01Jun 15, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.03Jun 15, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.5KJun 15, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.7KJun 15, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$28.17Jun 15, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$68.93Jun 15, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$495.31Jun 15, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$480.6K
Trades
14
Buy share
74%
Window
May 19, 00:40 UTC → Jun 15, 02:58 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.5K@85¢Jun 15, 02:58 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.0K@75¢Jun 14, 21:45 UTC
- BUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$10.3K@75¢Jun 14, 20:57 UTC
- SELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$97.4K@99¢Jun 11, 01:17 UTC
- SELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$7.4K@94¢Jun 7, 21:11 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$216.7K@100¢Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.8K@99¢Jun 2, 23:12 UTC
- SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$18.2K@97¢Jun 2, 22:28 UTC
- BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$26.1K@64¢May 29, 20:16 UTC
- BUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$10.7K@99¢May 28, 16:43 UTC
- BUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$12.9K@97¢May 28, 16:43 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$15.1K@99¢May 27, 22:58 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$7.8K@59¢May 23, 21:15 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.7K@98¢May 19, 00:35 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$131.2K
4 trades
30d volume
$480.6K
14 trades
Buy share
74%
Sample
medium
14 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$236.5K · 49% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.