Sunny-Mix
0xc6f71e0dd4f309f0854bb855c389d95c5ffc87ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$214.66
Realised
$55.19
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
1349 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$25.53
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 81.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$566.99
$79.88
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
280 shares @ 74.4¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$221.12
$13.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
200 shares @ 68.5¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$196.19
$59.20
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
86 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.66
$13.37
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 13.1¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$74.10
$-4.50
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
40 shares @ 63.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$36.19
$10.80
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
14 shares @ 83.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.46
$0.92
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.44
$1.25
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
595 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.49
$-40.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$17.69Jul 29, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$0.40Jul 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$14.47Jul 29, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$25.00Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$23.68Jul 28, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$50.54Jul 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$4.25Jul 28, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$0.32Jul 28, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$4.25Jul 28, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$69.86Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$9.07Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$32.00Jul 27, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$2.00Jul 27, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$15.00Jul 27, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$9.00Jul 27, 14:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$24.84Jul 26, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$12.42Jul 26, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.