Acidic-Curd
0xc71c36695d2f9e00c71e84ed85e9aea1fa4d78eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$45.57
Total PnL
$-46.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.59
$3.59
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.86
$2.86
- NO
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.04
$2.04
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.79
$0.79
- NO
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$4.52
$-0.48
- NO
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
9 shares @ 55.7¢·now 46.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.13
$-0.87
- NO
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Sep 27, 2026$3.44
$-1.56
- NO
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.09
$-2.91
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.83
$-3.17
- NO
Haiti elections delayed again?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$0.28
$-4.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?$5.00Jul 9, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Stavky by September 30?$5.00Jul 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis heat wave by July 31?$5.14Jul 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$5.00Jul 9, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$5.07Jul 8, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?$5.08Jul 7, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?$5.10Jul 7, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?$5.15Jul 7, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIcelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$5.10Jul 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti elections delayed again?$5.14Jul 6, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$5.18Jul 6, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?$5.08Jul 6, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump signs housing bill by end of July?$5.08Jul 6, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?$5.24Jul 6, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?$5.19Jul 6, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 6, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$5.16Jul 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.28Jul 2, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.16Jul 2, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$4.96Jul 2, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.