0xc97d55697512187001ee0c993412d57232d1732b
0xc97d55697512187001ee0c993412d57232d1732b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$8.0K
Total PnL
$589.63
Realised
$170.00
Win rate
76%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 23.8¢·now 37.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$695.94
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1950 shares @ 68.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-119.05
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
510 shares @ 71.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$379.95
$13.21
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
500 shares @ 59.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$332.54
$33.92
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
516 shares @ 55.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$296.92
$8.78
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
500 shares @ 42.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$217.50
$3.33
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
244 shares @ 66.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$191.53
$28.50
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
305 shares @ 58.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$184.54
$7.28
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
500 shares @ 26.1¢·now 36.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$180.00
$49.28
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
196 shares @ 70.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$152.09
$13.72
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$4.48Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$14.05Jul 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$0.16Jul 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$1.54Jul 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$9.17Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$0.82Jul 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$10.00Jul 28, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$19.80Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?$1.54Jul 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?$12.37Jul 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?$1.45Jul 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$7.98Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$5.00Jul 28, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$22.49Jul 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$15.43Jul 28, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$41.96Jul 28, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$12.61Jul 28, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$3.48Jul 28, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$28.22Jul 28, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
34 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.