0xc9b079388b4478788327bafc73066036fc8b0fcd
0xc9b079388b4478788327bafc73066036fc8b0fcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$604.71
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$226.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
1072 shares @ 17.9¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$235.80
$44.30
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
384 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.14
$-17.36
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
152 shares @ 56.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$88.68
$2.38
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1253 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.38
$-0.62
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
79 shares @ 37.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.12
$-5.68
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
863 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$21.91
$-6.29
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
43 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.49
$-1.51
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
3214 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.25
$-13.75
- YES
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2028$10.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.63
$-4.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$10.39Jul 22, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$12.00Jul 22, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$5.20Jul 22, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$3.12Jul 22, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$15.00Jul 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$15.00Jul 22, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$5.19Jul 22, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$5.20Jul 22, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$25.87Jul 22, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$129.83Jul 22, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.00Jul 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$16.00Jul 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$15.66Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$25.62Jul 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$2.08Jul 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$5.20Jul 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$5.13Jul 21, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$78.57Jul 21, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$5.20Jul 20, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $36.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.