Quirky-Jackfruit
0xca8f0374e3fc79b485499cc0b038d4f7e783d963
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$134.68
Total PnL
$-0.10
Realised
$0.34
Win rate
64%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
140 shares @ 4.3¢·now 8.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.13
$6.17
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
115 shares @ 5.1¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.86
$6.07
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
76 shares @ 6.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.64
$6.08
- YES
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
126 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$7.27
$-0.22
- YES
Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 0.8¢·now 16.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.66
$6.31
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NM-01 House seat?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.50
$-0.50
- YES
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
134 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.08
$2.08
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
8 shares @ 8.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.02
$5.37
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$8.19Jun 13, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.42Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$0.27Jun 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$10.00Jun 11, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$0.00Jun 10, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 10, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.00Jun 10, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$5.19Jun 10, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$13.80Jun 9, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$4.81Jun 9, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?$6.00Jun 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$2.30Jun 8, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLForsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?$1.35Jun 8, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 8, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 8, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLForsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?$0.01Jun 7, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.40Jun 6, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.01Jun 5, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 5, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.01Jun 5, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.