Bare-Coffin
0xcb1db08e79e7506f3e632883a5f30d18cad1b70b
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$82.02
Total PnL
$6.15
Realised
$0.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 88.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.42
$-2.08
- NO
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.00
$0.34
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.92
$5.71
- YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$10.00
$1.30
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 shares @ 57.3¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$-0.21
- YES
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
7 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$-0.04
- YES
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
30 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.87Jun 8, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.31Jun 6, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$1.47Jun 2, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.60May 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out by December 31, 2026?$6.56May 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$6.49May 24, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.73May 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$7.13Apr 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$4.25Apr 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$5.39Apr 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$7.28Apr 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$4.70Apr 15, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$4.70Apr 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$9.30Apr 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$1.40Apr 9, 19:53 UTC
- SPLITNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$20.00Apr 9, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$2.88Mar 30, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$4.90Mar 30, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.68Mar 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.66Mar 28, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.