Willing-Attachment
0xcc25c189a7c0111519d93f95a6d6b33812588ecf
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$310.54
Realised
$26.40
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
400 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$392.20
$7.40
- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
371 shares @ 71.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$346.60
$80.37
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
278 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$270.28
$20.28
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
161 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$160.64
$10.64
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.00
$7.00
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
88 shares @ 48.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.05
$25.45
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
152 shares @ 26.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$64.41
$24.81
- NO
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
71 shares @ 84.5¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.38
$3.38
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
60 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.00
$2.04
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
53 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.98
$27.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.