Detailed-Lip
0xcca90a5d3c8f2d6663817e3650d6adbe9ab44c9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$33.0K
Total PnL
$-30.8K
Realised
$985.23
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
29258 shares @ 37.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.6K
$9.5K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
13522 shares @ 24.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.2K
$2.8K
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10432 shares @ 19.0¢·now 45.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.8K
$2.8K
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10288 shares @ 44.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$432.08
$-4.1K
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1000 shares @ 36.6¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$304.96
$-60.92
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$178.89
$78.89
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$143.86
$43.86
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
349 shares @ 28.7¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$120.37
$20.37
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
79 shares @ 63.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.16
$12.16
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
63 shares @ 79.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.98
$7.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.63Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$197.09Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.22Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.1KJul 18, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.7KJul 18, 18:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.64Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.66Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.8KJul 8, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 23, 01:30 UTC → May 23, 01:26 UTC
- SELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$5.5K@99¢May 23, 01:26 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
$5.5K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $5.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.