Questionable-Depot
0xcd5c5f3470de3379146308823445b40431b8f0a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-173.91
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
583 shares @ 80.0¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$427.68
$-38.78
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
515 shares @ 77.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.54
$-21.46
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
508 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$320.34
$20.34
- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
327 shares @ 58.7¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.03
$17.36
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
6501 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.12
$-104.58
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
52 shares @ 74.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.16
$2.17
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
23 shares @ 24.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.39
$0.91
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 51.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.12
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
26786 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-220.16
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$100.92Jul 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$98.34Jul 5, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $74.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.