Grave-Jaguar
0xcd6c5b133dd4172280da52ac544f4d3379c65379
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$280.98
Total PnL
$-573.66
Realised
$38.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
126 shares @ 63.5¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.05
$22.05
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
370 shares @ 12.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.15
$3.15
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
74 shares @ 36.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$42.10
$15.10
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
61 shares @ 73.4¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.32
$-10.68
- YES
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
105 shares @ 38.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.21
$-25.79
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$6.67
$-3.33
- YES
Another Elon baby by June 30?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.97
$-9.03
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$50.00Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$10.49Jun 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$62.92Jun 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?$20.50Jun 9, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$10.35Jun 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?$20.50Jun 9, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$10.10Jun 9, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$10.08Jun 9, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$75.11Jun 9, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$10.10Jun 7, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$20.10Jun 3, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$24.53Jun 3, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.31May 22, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$14.01May 22, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.22May 22, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$30.00May 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$23.81May 22, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$25.32May 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$25.29May 20, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$20.25May 20, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $30.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.