Bowed-Samovar
0xce63db5db28ae90f2bf48f81ab45439cb5bc0a6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
663 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$636.41
$9.98
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
300 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$121.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1879 shares @ 2.3¢·now 5.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$97.72
$54.50
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
287 shares @ 41.2¢·now 26.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.18
$-42.06
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
90 shares @ 42.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$45.66
$7.69
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
150 shares @ 37.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
224 shares @ 9.2¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.71
$13.10
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$21.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$11.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $47.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.