Slim-Hake
0xcf45ee0626fe8ddb183add7b54ecac11213f5903
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-71.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
1083 shares @ 95.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-31.77
- NO
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
735 shares @ 94.1¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$687.86
$-3.93
- NO
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?
637 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$621.46
$21.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
25 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.82
$-0.08
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8586 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-137.37
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8585 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-300.48
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8584 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-463.55
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8550 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-102.60
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8537 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8534 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Venezuela become 51st state?$14.36Jul 24, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?$47.61Jul 24, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Himself before 2027?$675.36Jul 24, 09:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$1.04Jul 20, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$2.6KJul 20, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.5KJul 20, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$853.00Jul 20, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$19.80Jul 19, 23:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$71.60Jul 15, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$71.54Jul 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.24Jul 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$297.69Jul 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$366.13Jul 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.23Jul 15, 07:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $101.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.