Far-Bear
0xd1abcaed1a22acdc3f55efb6e01d2422072056e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-27.83
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
1652 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$1.7K
$252.54
- UNDER
Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5
551 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$551.00
$126.73
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
285 shares @ 91.6¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.94
$-194.97
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
54 shares @ 65.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$39.69
$4.59
- NO
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$0.30
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$-0.15
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.62
- YES
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
9 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.20
- YES
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.37
- YES
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
24 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$6.46Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$205.70Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$362.56Apr 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$708.40Apr 27, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMillonarios FC vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5$424.27Apr 23, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$125.97Apr 23, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1.0KApr 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$274.56Apr 23, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$567.84Apr 21, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$4.68Apr 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$242.22Apr 21, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$274.23Apr 21, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$313.00Apr 15, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$576.00Apr 15, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?$1.9KApr 15, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$679.50Apr 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$300.80Apr 11, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$609.22Apr 10, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$609.00Apr 9, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$714.56Apr 9, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $291.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.