0xd267cead4d691ba4d2235fad2246f0e92b2a9756
0xd267cead4d691ba4d2235fad2246f0e92b2a9756
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$129.58
Total PnL
$-17.27
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
80 shares @ 57.8¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.90
$8.90
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
29 shares @ 79.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.36
$4.36
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
13 shares @ 88.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.49
$0.55
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
18 shares @ 62.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.52
$0.52
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
17 shares @ 58.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.77
$0.06
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.94
$0.24
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.43
$0.38
- YES
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
21 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$0.32May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$2.40May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.01May 16, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.07May 16, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.01May 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.49May 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$6.02May 16, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$6.68May 16, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.56May 16, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.01May 16, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$6.31May 16, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.62May 16, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$9.91May 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.98May 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$2.96May 14, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.14May 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$5.12May 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?$2.05May 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?$0.95May 12, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.88May 12, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".