Silky-Surprise
0xd2cee7a363a2bc6e551fa7e9cac1b5e3cbb38925
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.70
Total PnL
$-11.57
Realised
$-0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.40
$5.03
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 10.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.92
$0.42
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-0.26
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.49
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.80
$-1.20
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
90 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.04
$-2.88
- YES
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
25 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.01
$-3.19
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
47 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
34 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.30May 16, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.58May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.45May 14, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.45May 14, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.96May 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$2.95May 14, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$3.06May 14, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$3.07May 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$3.34May 14, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$3.17May 14, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$2.62May 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.42May 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.96May 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.95May 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$3.11May 8, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.82May 8, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.50May 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$2.95May 4, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".