Roasted-Neighbourhood
0xd3012e849dae33c1584e3fa576d2865787f68a94
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$488.70
Total PnL
$-40.35
Realised
$5.17
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
93 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.10
$8.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
80 shares @ 83.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.96
$5.44
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.85
$2.85
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 82.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.08
$1.29
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
30 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.36
$3.86
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
28 shares @ 90.3¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.04
$2.04
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
30 shares @ 61.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.18
$7.70
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 45.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.89
$-10.47
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
26 shares @ 84.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.05
$1.75
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.96
$1.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.29Jun 10, 14:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.34Jun 3, 08:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$19.23Jun 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $5.00Jun 1, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $15.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.