Vague-Log
0xd338d5340631c9d741b2fdadd007cd5632eb9781
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
103
Open notional
$22.84
Total PnL
$-11.6K
Realised
$-54.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.23
$-0.00
- NO
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.44
$0.11
- NO
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.53
$0.10
- NO
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$0.07
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$0.06
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.36
$0.04
- NO
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$3.09Jun 4, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$3.19Jun 1, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.00Jun 1, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.02May 31, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.26May 31, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$3.00May 31, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.00May 31, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.07May 30, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$3.01May 30, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.34May 28, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.15May 28, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.54May 24, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 19, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.09May 19, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$1.34May 19, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$1.23May 17, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$1.32May 17, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$1.03May 17, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$1.08May 17, 03:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".