Rewarding-Alto
0xd3ba95052406df0a67e60861be0d831373ec33b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$17.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Unai Emery be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
1950 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
644 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- NO
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$0.01Jul 7, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.01Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.10Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.11Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by July 31, 2026?$0.09Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.29Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.58Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.58Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.58Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% by the end of May?$0.77Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.80Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?$0.91Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$1.16Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.20Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1.16Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.16Jul 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.20Jul 7, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.16Jul 7, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?$1.46Jul 7, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.