Acceptable-Ornament
0xd4cdd673cd4cca096cb18b539a7cb0e5d01b686d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$262.18
Total PnL
$-6.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
54 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$53.57
$0.54
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$52.92
$0.11
- NO
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
54 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$52.62
$0.24
- NO
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
51 shares @ 98.5¢·now 95.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$48.88
$-1.35
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
51 shares @ 99.1¢·now 86.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.27
$-6.27
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.91
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$52.38Jun 10, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.98Jun 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.81Jun 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$53.03Jun 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$17.75Jun 9, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$36.00Jun 4, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released by June 30?$61.35Jun 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$5.47May 31, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$19.70May 31, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$9.86May 31, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$5.39May 31, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.