Decimal-Manhunt
0xd509fc793f08000f0a93cb6efae4752031bf34cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$41.63
Total PnL
$-331.95
Realised
$2.45
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.51
$11.51
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
52 shares @ 29.0¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$20.12
$5.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET
6311 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4AM ET
940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET
302 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4AM ET
250 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1PM ET
230 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
185 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 5, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$90.72May 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$85.21May 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$15.43May 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$0.16May 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.82May 4, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$11.30May 4, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$5.78May 4, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$0.13May 4, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$3.21May 4, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$10.71May 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.